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Nokia Corporation NOK 7.66 0.2 2.68%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $7.67
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.9% ±$0.23 $7.44 – $7.90 $7.40 – $7.94 $7.19 – $8.15
2 sessions ±4.1% ±$0.31 $7.36 – $7.98 $7.29 – $8.05 $6.99 – $8.35
3 sessions ±5.2% ±$0.40 $7.27 – $8.07 $7.20 – $8.14 $6.83 – $8.51
1 week ±6.5% ±$0.50 $7.17 – $8.17 $7.06 – $8.28 $6.60 – $8.74
2 weeks ±8.9% ±$0.68 $6.99 – $8.35 $6.82 – $8.52 $6.21 – $9.13
3 weeks ±10.0% ±$0.77 $6.90 – $8.44 $6.71 – $8.63 $6.04 – $9.30
1 month ±12.9% ±$0.99 $6.68 – $8.66 $6.43 – $8.91 $5.57 – $9.77
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±8.79%
Average actual move
7.29%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 7
Median IV change
-21.82%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
October 22, 2026 ±9.19% -14.81% 1.61× —
July 23, 2026 ±12.45% -5.35% 0.43× —
April 23, 2026 ±11.46% +4.77% 0.42× —
January 29, 2026 ±7.55% -7.77% 1.03× —
July 24, 2025 ±5.75% -3.98% 0.69× 42.7% → 33.4%
April 24, 2025 ±7.25% -8.47% 1.17× —
January 30, 2025 ±7.88% +5.86% 0.74× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →