OKE Moves

Oneok OKE 86.25 -2.35 -2.65%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $86.53

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.5% ±$1.31	$85.22 – $87.84	$84.96 – $88.10	$83.74 – $89.32
2 sessions	±2.1% ±$1.82	$84.71 – $88.35	$84.33 – $88.73	$82.62 – $90.44
3 sessions	±2.6% ±$2.28	$84.25 – $88.81	$83.80 – $89.26	$81.67 – $91.39
1 week	±3.4% ±$2.90	$83.63 – $89.43	$82.98 – $90.08	$80.34 – $92.72
2 weeks	±4.7% ±$4.08	$82.45 – $90.61	$81.49 – $91.57	$77.84 – $95.22
3 weeks	±5.6% ±$4.82	$81.71 – $91.35	$80.53 – $92.53	$76.34 – $96.72
1 month	±6.4% ±$5.53	$81.00 – $92.06	$79.62 – $93.44	$74.81 – $98.25

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±5.14%

Average actual move

5.17%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Median IV change

-9.64%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 05, 2025	±5.14%	-5.17%	1.01×	37.0% → 29.4%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →