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Universal Display Corp OLED 89.57 0.17 0.19%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $89.74
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.4% ±$2.17 $87.57 – $91.91 $87.14 – $92.34 $85.09 – $94.39
2 sessions ±3.4% ±$3.02 $86.72 – $92.76 $86.09 – $93.39 $83.23 – $96.25
3 sessions ±4.2% ±$3.80 $85.94 – $93.54 $85.21 – $94.27 $81.65 – $97.83
1 week ±5.4% ±$4.83 $84.91 – $94.57 $83.84 – $95.64 $79.46 – $100.02
2 weeks ±7.5% ±$6.78 $82.96 – $96.52 $81.36 – $98.12 $75.28 – $104.20
3 weeks ±9.3% ±$8.39 $81.35 – $98.13 $79.31 – $100.17 $72.01 – $107.47
1 month ±11.1% ±$9.99 $79.75 – $99.73 $77.27 – $102.21 $68.55 – $110.93
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±10.14%
Average actual move
8.95%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Median IV change
-33.69%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
February 20, 2026 ±9.18% -11.14% 1.21× —
February 21, 2025 ±11.10% +6.76% 0.61× 58.8% → 38.0%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →