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Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH 910.19 -34.8 -3.68%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $910.19
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings ±5.6% ±$51.33 $858.86 – $961.52 $845.84 – $974.54 $798.33 – $1022.05
2 sessions Earnings ±6.0% ±$55.07 $855.12 – $965.26 $841.56 – $978.82 $790.77 – $1029.61
3 sessions Earnings ±6.4% ±$58.53 $851.66 – $968.72 $838.10 – $982.28 $784.58 – $1035.80
1 week Earnings ±6.8% ±$61.80 $848.39 – $971.99 $833.46 – $986.92 $780.31 – $1040.07
2 weeks Earnings ±7.4% ±$67.72 $842.47 – $977.91 $826.54 – $993.84 $767.38 – $1053.00
3 weeks Earnings ±8.0% ±$72.82 $837.37 – $983.01 $819.99 – $1000.39 $757.10 – $1063.28
1 month Earnings ±8.6% ±$78.37 $831.82 – $988.56 $812.89 – $1007.49 $745.35 – $1075.03
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. PH reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.10%
Average actual move
4.05%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Median IV change
-28.64%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 07, 2025 ±6.10% +4.05% 0.66× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →