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Pool Corporation POOL 219.26 12.01 5.79%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $219.61
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.6% ±$3.58 $216.03 – $223.19 $215.31 – $223.91 $211.92 – $227.30
2 sessions ±2.3% ±$4.99 $214.62 – $224.60 $213.57 – $225.65 $208.85 – $230.37
3 sessions ±2.9% ±$6.28 $213.33 – $225.89 $212.12 – $227.10 $206.24 – $232.98
1 week ±3.6% ±$7.97 $211.64 – $227.58 $209.86 – $229.36 $202.61 – $236.61
2 weeks ±5.1% ±$11.20 $208.41 – $230.81 $205.75 – $233.47 $195.72 – $243.50
3 weeks ±6.3% ±$13.86 $205.75 – $233.47 $202.37 – $236.85 $190.31 – $248.91
1 month ±7.5% ±$16.51 $203.10 – $236.12 $198.99 – $240.23 $184.58 – $254.64
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.94%
Average actual move
7.75%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Median IV change
-18.58%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
February 19, 2026 ±6.23% -14.48% 2.33× —
February 20, 2025 ±5.65% +1.01% 0.18× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →