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POST HOLDINGS POST 84.85 1.73 2.08%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $84.85
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.6% ±$1.36 $83.49 – $86.21 $83.22 – $86.48 $81.93 – $87.77
2 sessions ±2.2% ±$1.89 $82.96 – $86.74 $82.56 – $87.14 $80.77 – $88.93
3 sessions ±2.8% ±$2.38 $82.47 – $87.23 $82.01 – $87.69 $79.78 – $89.92
1 week ±3.6% ±$3.03 $81.82 – $87.88 $81.15 – $88.55 $78.40 – $91.30
2 weeks ±5.0% ±$4.24 $80.61 – $89.09 $79.60 – $90.10 $75.79 – $93.91
3 weeks ±6.2% ±$5.26 $79.59 – $90.11 $78.31 – $91.39 $73.73 – $95.97
1 month ±7.4% ±$6.26 $78.59 – $91.11 $77.03 – $92.67 $71.57 – $98.13
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. POST reports in 12 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±4.68%
Average actual move
2.18%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 3
Median IV change
-42.08%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 08, 2025 ±4.86% +4.92% 1.01× —
May 09, 2025 ±4.51% -0.11% 0.02× 37.6% → 21.8%
November 15, 2024 ±4.69% -1.52% 0.32× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →