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Pricesmart Inc PSMT 162.56 -2.64 -1.6%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $162.56
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.5% ±$2.50 $160.06 – $165.06 $159.55 – $165.57 $157.18 – $167.94
2 sessions ±2.1% ±$3.50 $159.06 – $166.06 $158.33 – $166.79 $155.03 – $170.09
3 sessions ±2.7% ±$4.39 $158.17 – $166.95 $157.31 – $167.81 $153.20 – $171.92
1 week ±3.4% ±$5.59 $156.97 – $168.15 $155.73 – $169.39 $150.66 – $174.46
2 weeks ±4.8% ±$7.84 $154.72 – $170.40 $152.86 – $172.26 $145.83 – $179.29
3 weeks ±6.0% ±$9.70 $152.86 – $172.26 $150.48 – $174.64 $142.04 – $183.08
1 month ±7.1% ±$11.56 $151.00 – $174.12 $148.12 – $177.00 $138.03 – $187.09
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.86%
Average actual move
4.31%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 4
Median IV change
-51.29%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
July 09, 2026 ±6.95% -0.45% 0.07× —
July 11, 2025 ±8.42% +5.33% 0.63× 68.1% → 33.2%
April 10, 2025 ±9.76% +6.96% 0.71× —
January 10, 2025 ±6.29% -4.49% 0.71× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →