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Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR 78.55 0.17 0.22%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $78.25
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.2% ±$0.97 $77.28 – $79.22 $77.08 – $79.42 $76.17 – $80.33
2 sessions ±1.7% ±$1.35 $76.90 – $79.60 $76.61 – $79.89 $75.34 – $81.16
3 sessions ±2.2% ±$1.70 $76.55 – $79.95 $76.22 – $80.28 $74.63 – $81.87
1 week ±2.8% ±$2.16 $76.09 – $80.41 $75.61 – $80.89 $73.64 – $82.86
2 weeks ±3.9% ±$3.04 $75.21 – $81.29 $74.49 – $82.01 $71.78 – $84.72
3 weeks ±4.7% ±$3.66 $74.59 – $81.91 $73.70 – $82.80 $70.50 – $86.00
1 month ±5.5% ±$4.27 $73.98 – $82.52 $72.91 – $83.59 $69.19 – $87.31
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±4.76%
Average actual move
3.78%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 5
Median IV change
-29.80%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 06, 2026 ±4.62% -5.47% 1.18× —
February 12, 2026 ±4.63% -6.15% 1.33× —
August 07, 2025 ±4.85% -5.15% 1.06× 36.2% → 24.3%
May 08, 2025 ±4.42% -0.53% 0.12× 34.9% → 25.6%
February 12, 2025 ±5.27% -1.58% 0.30× 39.5% → 24.5%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →