QTWO Moves

Q2 Holdings Inc QTWO 73.92 -1.7 -2.25%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $73.86

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.1% ±$1.56	$72.29 – $75.42	$71.97 – $75.74	$70.50 – $77.22
2 sessions	±3.0% ±$2.18	$71.68 – $76.04	$71.21 – $76.50	$69.16 – $78.56
3 sessions	±3.7% ±$2.75	$71.11 – $76.61	$70.59 – $77.13	$68.02 – $79.70
1 week	±4.7% ±$3.48	$70.37 – $77.34	$69.59 – $78.13	$66.43 – $81.29
2 weeks	±6.6% ±$4.90	$68.96 – $78.76	$67.80 – $79.91	$63.41 – $84.30
3 weeks	±8.1% ±$5.96	$67.90 – $79.82	$66.45 – $81.27	$61.27 – $86.45
1 month	±9.5% ±$7.02	$66.83 – $80.88	$65.08 – $82.63	$58.96 – $88.76

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.34%

Average actual move

4.14%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 12, 2026	±12.32%	-7.36%	0.60×	—
February 13, 2025	±8.37%	+0.91%	0.11×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →