RAL Moves

Ralliant Corporation RAL 62.83 -8.75 -12.22%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $62.83

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.6% ±$1.64	$61.19 – $64.47	$60.86 – $64.80	$59.32 – $66.34
2 sessions	±3.6% ±$2.27	$60.56 – $65.10	$60.07 – $65.59	$57.92 – $67.74
3 sessions	±4.6% ±$2.87	$59.96 – $65.70	$59.41 – $66.25	$56.72 – $68.94
1 week	±5.8% ±$3.64	$59.19 – $66.47	$58.38 – $67.28	$55.07 – $70.59
2 weeks	±8.1% ±$5.11	$57.72 – $67.94	$56.50 – $69.16	$51.92 – $73.74

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±8.88%

Average actual move

19.37%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 12, 2026	±8.88%	+19.37%	2.18×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →