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Remitly Global RELY 21.55 -5.54 -20.44%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $21.50
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.1% ±$0.45 $21.05 – $21.95 $20.97 – $22.03 $20.55 – $22.45
2 sessions ±2.9% ±$0.62 $20.88 – $22.12 $20.75 – $22.25 $20.17 – $22.83
3 sessions ±3.6% ±$0.78 $20.72 – $22.28 $20.57 – $22.43 $19.84 – $23.16
1 week ±4.6% ±$0.99 $20.51 – $22.49 $20.29 – $22.71 $19.39 – $23.61
2 weeks ±6.5% ±$1.39 $20.11 – $22.89 $19.78 – $23.22 $18.54 – $24.46
3 weeks ±8.0% ±$1.72 $19.78 – $23.22 $19.36 – $23.64 $17.87 – $25.13
1 month ±9.5% ±$2.05 $19.45 – $23.55 $18.95 – $24.05 $17.16 – $25.84
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.49%
Average actual move
2.21%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 2
Median IV change
-46.39%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±15.07% -3.96% 0.26× —
February 20, 2025 ±15.92% -0.46% 0.03× 77.5% → 41.6%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →