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Royal Gold Inc RGLD 265.81 4.53 1.73%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $265.69
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.8% ±$4.78 $260.91 – $270.47 $259.95 – $271.43 $255.41 – $275.97
2 sessions ±2.5% ±$6.67 $259.02 – $272.36 $257.61 – $273.77 $251.34 – $280.04
3 sessions ±3.2% ±$8.40 $257.29 – $274.09 $255.70 – $275.68 $247.84 – $283.54
1 week ±4.0% ±$10.65 $255.04 – $276.34 $252.67 – $278.71 $243.00 – $288.38
2 weeks ±5.6% ±$14.96 $250.73 – $280.65 $247.20 – $284.18 $233.78 – $297.60
3 weeks ±6.8% ±$18.20 $247.49 – $283.89 $243.05 – $288.33 $227.22 – $304.16
1 month ±8.1% ±$21.47 $244.22 – $287.16 $238.88 – $292.50 $220.18 – $311.20
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.00%
Average actual move
2.57%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 5
Median IV change
-11.83%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±6.59% -1.77% 0.27× —
February 19, 2026 ±4.52% -2.16% 0.48× —
August 07, 2025 ±4.42% +2.48% 0.56× 34.5% → 30.4%
May 08, 2025 ±5.20% -2.15% 0.41× 40.5% → 33.5%
February 13, 2025 ±4.26% +4.28% 1.00× 33.1% → 35.8%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →