Closed
⌘K
Sign in Sign up

RH RH 130.96 -6.47 -4.71%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $133.57
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.9% ±$3.83 $129.74 – $137.40 $128.96 – $138.18 $125.34 – $141.80
2 sessions ±4.0% ±$5.33 $128.24 – $138.90 $127.11 – $140.03 $122.07 – $145.07
3 sessions ±5.0% ±$6.72 $126.85 – $140.29 $125.56 – $141.58 $119.26 – $147.88
1 week ±6.4% ±$8.54 $125.03 – $142.11 $123.14 – $144.00 $115.39 – $151.75
2 weeks ±9.0% ±$11.98 $121.59 – $145.55 $118.76 – $148.38 $108.02 – $159.12
3 weeks ±11.1% ±$14.83 $118.74 – $148.40 $115.12 – $152.02 $102.22 – $164.92
1 month ±13.2% ±$17.67 $115.90 – $151.24 $111.52 – $155.62 $96.10 – $171.04
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. RH reports in 24 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±14.47%
Average actual move
12.09%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 6
Median IV change
-45.96%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
September 11, 2026 ±13.02% +0.04% 0.00× —
June 12, 2026 ±14.06% -3.94% 0.28× —
September 12, 2025 ±15.30% -4.60% 0.30× 111.2% → 58.0%
June 13, 2025 ±15.21% +6.93% 0.46× 114.0% → 63.7%
April 03, 2025 ±15.88% -40.09% 2.52× —
December 13, 2024 ±13.36% +16.95% 1.27× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →