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Construction Partners ROAD 81.02 -3.01 -3.58%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 12 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 12, 2026 close · $81.02
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.1% ±$1.72 $79.30 – $82.74 $78.96 – $83.08 $77.33 – $84.71
2 sessions ±3.0% ±$2.39 $78.63 – $83.41 $78.13 – $83.91 $75.87 – $86.17
3 sessions ±3.7% ±$3.01 $78.01 – $84.03 $77.43 – $84.61 $74.62 – $87.42
1 week Earnings ±8.6% ±$6.95 $74.07 – $87.97 $72.39 – $89.65 $66.41 – $95.63
2 weeks Earnings ±9.9% ±$8.06 $72.96 – $89.08 $71.05 – $90.99 $64.01 – $98.03
3 weeks Earnings ±11.1% ±$8.99 $72.03 – $90.01 $69.88 – $92.16 $62.11 – $99.93
1 month Earnings ±12.3% ±$9.97 $71.05 – $90.99 $68.65 – $93.39 $60.06 – $101.98
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. ROAD reports in 5 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±13.55%
Average actual move
6.94%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026 ±13.55% +6.94% 0.51× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →