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Republic Services Inc RSG 245.41 2.54 1.05%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $245.66
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±0.9% ±$2.26 $243.40 – $247.92 $242.96 – $248.36 $240.82 – $250.50
2 sessions ±1.3% ±$3.14 $242.52 – $248.80 $241.85 – $249.47 $238.90 – $252.42
3 sessions ±1.6% ±$3.96 $241.70 – $249.62 $240.94 – $250.38 $237.23 – $254.09
1 week ±2.0% ±$5.01 $240.65 – $250.67 $239.52 – $251.80 $234.95 – $256.37
2 weeks ±2.9% ±$7.05 $238.61 – $252.71 $236.94 – $254.38 $230.63 – $260.69
3 weeks ±3.5% ±$8.67 $236.99 – $254.33 $234.88 – $256.44 $227.31 – $264.01
1 month ±4.2% ±$10.27 $235.39 – $255.93 $232.84 – $258.48 $223.89 – $267.43
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±4.00%
Average actual move
1.93%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Median IV change
-13.08%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026 ±4.24% -0.76% 0.18× —
February 18, 2026 ±4.33% -1.97% 0.45× —
February 14, 2025 ±3.44% +3.06% 0.89× 26.6% → 25.7%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →