SBET Moves

Sharplink SBET 6.24 -0.18 -2.8%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $6.24

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings	±7.9% ±$0.49	$5.74 – $6.73	$5.62 – $6.86	$5.16 – $7.32
2 sessions Earnings	±9.0% ±$0.56	$5.68 – $6.80	$5.54 – $6.94	$5.02 – $7.45
3 sessions Earnings	±10.0% ±$0.62	$5.61 – $6.86	$5.47 – $7.00	$4.90 – $7.57
1 week Earnings	±11.3% ±$0.70	$5.53 – $6.94	$5.36 – $7.11	$4.76 – $7.72
2 weeks Earnings	±13.8% ±$0.86	$5.38 – $7.10	$5.17 – $7.30	$4.42 – $8.05
3 weeks Earnings	±15.8% ±$0.99	$5.25 – $7.23	$5.01 – $7.46	$4.16 – $8.32
1 month Earnings	±17.9% ±$1.12	$5.12 – $7.36	$4.85 – $7.63	$3.89 – $8.59

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. SBET reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.33%

Average actual move

9.90%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Median IV change

-1.85%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 11, 2026	±10.48%	+4.30%	0.41×	—
August 15, 2025	±10.17%	-15.50%	1.52×	151.4% → 148.6%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →