SGHC Moves

Super Group (SGHC) Limited SGHC 11.56 0.01 0.09%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $11.56

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.1% ±$0.24	$11.32 – $11.80	$11.27 – $11.85	$11.05 – $12.07
2 sessions	±2.9% ±$0.33	$11.23 – $11.89	$11.16 – $11.96	$10.85 – $12.27
3 sessions	±3.6% ±$0.42	$11.14 – $11.98	$11.06 – $12.06	$10.67 – $12.45
1 week	±4.6% ±$0.53	$11.03 – $12.09	$10.91 – $12.21	$10.43 – $12.69
2 weeks	±6.4% ±$0.74	$10.82 – $12.30	$10.64 – $12.48	$9.98 – $13.14
3 weeks	±7.8% ±$0.90	$10.66 – $12.46	$10.44 – $12.68	$9.66 – $13.46
1 month	±9.1% ±$1.06	$10.50 – $12.62	$10.24 – $12.88	$9.32 – $13.80

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±11.19%

Average actual move

1.97%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 12, 2026	±11.19%	-1.97%	0.18×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →