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StubHub Holdings STUB 6.59 0.53 8.75%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $6.59
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.7% ±$0.18 $6.41 – $6.77 $6.37 – $6.81 $6.21 – $6.97
2 sessions ±3.8% ±$0.25 $6.34 – $6.84 $6.29 – $6.89 $6.05 – $7.13
3 sessions ±4.8% ±$0.31 $6.28 – $6.90 $6.22 – $6.96 $5.92 – $7.26
1 week Earnings ±12.6% ±$0.83 $5.76 – $7.42 $5.56 – $7.62 $4.84 – $8.34
2 weeks Earnings ±14.2% ±$0.93 $5.66 – $7.52 $5.44 – $7.74 $4.62 – $8.56
3 weeks Earnings ±15.5% ±$1.02 $5.57 – $7.61 $5.33 – $7.85 $4.44 – $8.74
1 month Earnings ±16.9% ±$1.11 $5.48 – $7.70 $5.21 – $7.97 $4.25 – $8.93
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. STUB reports in 5 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±14.03%
Average actual move
11.88%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 2
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 13, 2026 ±13.76% -10.07% 0.73× —
May 14, 2026 ±14.30% +13.70% 0.96× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →