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Atlassian Corporation Class A Common TEAM 189.88 -1.17 -0.61%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $189.88
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.6% ±$4.97 $184.91 – $194.85 $183.92 – $195.84 $179.21 – $200.55
2 sessions Earnings ±12.9% ±$24.42 $165.46 – $214.30 $159.48 – $220.28 $136.94 – $242.82
3 sessions Earnings ±13.6% ±$25.90 $163.98 – $215.78 $158.00 – $221.76 $134.32 – $245.44
1 week Earnings ±14.3% ±$27.25 $162.63 – $217.13 $156.04 – $223.72 $132.61 – $247.15
2 weeks Earnings ±15.6% ±$29.68 $160.20 – $219.56 $153.21 – $226.55 $127.31 – $252.45
3 weeks Earnings ±16.7% ±$31.77 $158.11 – $221.65 $150.56 – $229.20 $123.12 – $256.64
1 month Earnings ±17.9% ±$34.03 $155.85 – $223.91 $147.63 – $232.13 $118.31 – $261.45
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. TEAM reports in 2 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±12.79%
Average actual move
18.25%
Beyond the implied move
4 / 6
Median IV change
-50.39%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 07, 2026 ±14.57% +35.31% 2.42× —
May 01, 2026 ±12.76% +29.58% 2.32× —
August 08, 2025 ±13.25% -1.72% 0.13× 91.3% → 44.0%
May 02, 2025 ±12.64% -8.99% 0.71× 91.3% → 46.5%
January 31, 2025 ±11.29% +14.92% 1.32× —
November 01, 2024 ±12.25% +18.99% 1.55× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →