Pre-market
⌘K
Sign in Sign up
You're reading the free version. Trader adds the live tape and alerts. Start tracking

Tencent Music Entertainment Group American TME 9.22 -0.11 -1.18%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 11 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 11, 2026 close · $9.22
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.6% ±$0.15 $9.07 – $9.37 $9.04 – $9.40 $8.90 – $9.54
2 sessions ±2.2% ±$0.21 $9.01 – $9.43 $8.97 – $9.47 $8.77 – $9.67
3 sessions ±2.8% ±$0.26 $8.96 – $9.48 $8.91 – $9.53 $8.66 – $9.78
1 week Earnings ±8.3% ±$0.77 $8.45 – $9.99 $8.26 – $10.18 $7.60 – $10.84
2 weeks Earnings ±9.2% ±$0.85 $8.37 – $10.07 $8.17 – $10.27 $7.44 – $11.00
3 weeks Earnings ±9.9% ±$0.91 $8.31 – $10.13 $8.09 – $10.35 $7.30 – $11.14
1 month Earnings ±10.7% ±$0.98 $8.24 – $10.20 $8.00 – $10.44 $7.15 – $11.29
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. TME reports in 4 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±9.37%
Average actual move
8.10%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 6
Median IV change
-21.10%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 11, 2026 ±9.60% -11.92% 1.24× —
May 12, 2026 ±8.43% -1.31% 0.15× —
August 12, 2025 ±7.82% +11.85% 1.52× —
May 13, 2025 ±8.37% +2.51% 0.30× —
March 18, 2025 ±10.34% +15.54% 1.50× 66.8% → 52.7%
November 12, 2024 ±11.69% -5.45% 0.47× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →