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Upwork Inc UPWK 10.02 -0.3 -2.91%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $10.02
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.3% ±$0.23 $9.79 – $10.25 $9.75 – $10.29 $9.53 – $10.51
2 sessions ±3.2% ±$0.32 $9.70 – $10.34 $9.64 – $10.40 $9.34 – $10.70
3 sessions ±4.0% ±$0.40 $9.62 – $10.42 $9.54 – $10.50 $9.17 – $10.87
1 week ±5.1% ±$0.51 $9.51 – $10.53 $9.40 – $10.64 $8.94 – $11.10
2 weeks ±7.1% ±$0.71 $9.31 – $10.73 $9.14 – $10.90 $8.50 – $11.54
3 weeks ±8.6% ±$0.86 $9.16 – $10.88 $8.95 – $11.09 $8.20 – $11.84
1 month ±10.1% ±$1.01 $9.01 – $11.03 $8.76 – $11.28 $7.87 – $12.17
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±17.37%
Average actual move
11.74%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Median IV change
-49.92%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 11, 2026 ±19.58% -14.95% 0.76× —
August 07, 2025 ±14.64% +13.64% 0.93× 111.1% → 55.6%
February 13, 2025 ±17.87% +6.63% 0.37× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →