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United Rentals URI 1123.79 -51.38 -4.37%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $1128.75
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.3% ±$25.62 $1103.13 – $1154.37 $1098.05 – $1159.45 $1073.78 – $1183.72
2 sessions ±3.2% ±$35.67 $1093.08 – $1164.42 $1085.52 – $1171.98 $1051.88 – $1205.62
3 sessions ±3.8% ±$42.44 $1086.31 – $1171.19 $1078.18 – $1179.32 $1038.45 – $1219.05
1 week ±4.5% ±$51.36 $1077.39 – $1180.11 $1065.99 – $1191.51 $1019.49 – $1238.01
2 weeks ±6.1% ±$69.19 $1059.56 – $1197.94 $1043.19 – $1214.31 $981.22 – $1276.28
3 weeks ±7.2% ±$80.93 $1047.82 – $1209.68 $1028.18 – $1229.32 $957.86 – $1299.64
1 month ±8.3% ±$93.91 $1034.84 – $1222.66 $1011.59 – $1245.92 $929.75 – $1327.75
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.25%
Average actual move
10.10%
Beyond the implied move
5 / 7
Median IV change
-25.92%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
October 22, 2026 ±7.69% +3.93% 0.51× —
July 23, 2026 ±7.44% +10.11% 1.36× —
April 23, 2026 ±5.69% +22.92% 4.03× —
January 29, 2026 ±6.62% -12.86% 1.94× —
July 24, 2025 ±4.97% +8.96% 1.80× —
April 24, 2025 ±5.81% +9.87% 1.70× —
January 30, 2025 ±5.51% +2.07% 0.38× 44.0% → 32.6%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →