WK Moves

Workiva Inc WK 72.76 -12.74 -14.9%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $72.76

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.6% ±$1.91	$70.85 – $74.67	$70.46 – $75.06	$68.65 – $76.87
2 sessions	±3.7% ±$2.66	$70.10 – $75.42	$69.53 – $75.99	$67.01 – $78.51
3 sessions	±4.6% ±$3.35	$69.41 – $76.11	$68.76 – $76.76	$65.61 – $79.91
1 week	±5.9% ±$4.26	$68.50 – $77.02	$67.54 – $77.98	$63.67 – $81.85
2 weeks	±8.2% ±$5.98	$66.78 – $78.74	$65.36 – $80.16	$59.99 – $85.53
3 weeks	±10.2% ±$7.41	$65.35 – $80.17	$63.55 – $81.97	$57.09 – $88.43
1 month	±12.1% ±$8.83	$63.93 – $81.59	$61.74 – $83.78	$54.05 – $91.47

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±11.44%

Average actual move

5.33%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 06, 2026	±12.63%	-7.00%	0.55×	—
February 20, 2026	±10.25%	+3.66%	0.36×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →