XE Moves

X-Energy XE 10.05 -0.93 -8.47%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $10.05

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.8% ±$0.38	$9.67 – $10.43	$9.59 – $10.51	$9.23 – $10.87
2 sessions	±5.3% ±$0.53	$9.52 – $10.58	$9.41 – $10.69	$8.91 – $11.19
3 sessions	±6.6% ±$0.67	$9.38 – $10.72	$9.26 – $10.84	$8.63 – $11.47
1 week	±8.4% ±$0.85	$9.20 – $10.90	$9.01 – $11.09	$8.25 – $11.85
2 weeks Earnings	±14.3% ±$1.44	$8.61 – $11.49	$8.27 – $11.83	$7.02 – $13.08
3 weeks Earnings	±16.8% ±$1.69	$8.36 – $11.74	$7.95 – $12.15	$6.49 – $13.61
1 month Earnings	±19.4% ±$1.95	$8.10 – $12.00	$7.63 – $12.47	$5.96 – $14.14

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. XE reports in 6 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±14.74%

Average actual move

11.70%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 13, 2026	±14.74%	+11.70%	0.79×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →