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Autodesk Inc ADSK 269.16 -0.93 -0.34%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $269.16
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.0% ±$5.36 $263.80 – $274.52 $262.70 – $275.62 $257.64 – $280.68
2 sessions ±2.8% ±$7.46 $261.70 – $276.62 $260.12 – $278.20 $253.06 – $285.26
3 sessions ±3.5% ±$9.39 $259.77 – $278.55 $257.94 – $280.38 $249.13 – $289.19
1 week ±4.4% ±$11.95 $257.21 – $281.11 $254.54 – $283.78 $243.70 – $294.62
2 weeks ±6.2% ±$16.77 $252.39 – $285.93 $248.41 – $289.91 $233.36 – $304.96
3 weeks Earnings ±11.1% ±$29.77 $239.39 – $298.93 $232.31 – $306.01 $206.58 – $331.74
1 month Earnings ±12.1% ±$32.65 $236.51 – $301.81 $228.65 – $309.67 $200.52 – $337.80
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. ADSK reports in 14 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.79%
Average actual move
2.60%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Median IV change
-33.37%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 28, 2026 ±9.66% -3.67% 0.38× —
May 29, 2026 ±8.72% -4.00% 0.46× 65.8% → 43.5%
May 23, 2025 ±4.98% +0.12% 0.02× 40.7% → 27.3%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →