Closed
⌘K
Sign in Sign up

Applied Industrial Technologies AIT 283.39 2.49 0.89%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $282.79
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.4% ±$4.07 $278.71 – $286.86 $277.89 – $287.68 $274.05 – $291.52
2 sessions ±2.0% ±$5.65 $277.13 – $288.44 $275.91 – $289.66 $270.57 – $295.00
3 sessions ±2.5% ±$7.13 $275.66 – $289.91 $274.27 – $291.30 $267.60 – $297.97
1 week ±3.2% ±$9.07 $273.71 – $291.86 $271.70 – $293.87 $263.47 – $302.10
2 weeks ±4.5% ±$12.72 $270.06 – $295.51 $267.03 – $298.54 $255.64 – $309.93
3 weeks ±5.5% ±$15.44 $267.34 – $298.23 $263.58 – $301.99 $250.12 – $315.45
1 month ±6.4% ±$18.19 $264.60 – $300.97 $260.08 – $305.49 $244.21 – $321.36
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.30%
Average actual move
1.24%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 2
Median IV change
-22.68%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 13, 2026 ±5.25% +1.51% 0.29× —
August 14, 2025 ±5.35% -0.97% 0.18× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →