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Booking Holdings Inc BKNG 168.72 -2.25 -1.32%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $168.56
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.0% ±$3.32 $165.24 – $171.89 $164.59 – $172.54 $161.45 – $175.68
2 sessions ±2.7% ±$4.60 $163.96 – $173.17 $162.97 – $174.16 $158.62 – $178.51
3 sessions ±3.4% ±$5.80 $162.77 – $174.36 $161.64 – $175.49 $156.21 – $180.92
1 week ±4.4% ±$7.38 $161.18 – $175.95 $159.55 – $177.58 $152.84 – $184.29
2 weeks ±6.1% ±$10.34 $158.22 – $178.91 $155.75 – $181.38 $146.47 – $190.66
3 weeks ±7.6% ±$12.82 $155.74 – $181.39 $152.62 – $184.51 $141.46 – $195.67
1 month ±8.8% ±$14.84 $153.73 – $183.40 $150.04 – $187.09 $137.11 – $200.02
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.25%
Average actual move
4.24%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 5
Median IV change
-32.19%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 04, 2026 ±7.36% +9.83% 1.34× —
August 05, 2026 ±7.08% +6.56% 0.93× 54.6% → 39.4%
July 30, 2025 ±4.70% +0.40% 0.08× 33.7% → 21.4%
April 30, 2025 ±5.64% +3.87% 0.69× 42.7% → 32.4%
February 21, 2025 ±6.45% -0.55% 0.09× 44.8% → 28.4%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →