CBRE Moves

CBRE GROUP CBRE 141.11 5.59 4.12%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $141.11

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.6% ±$2.33	$138.78 – $143.44	$138.32 – $143.90	$136.11 – $146.11
2 sessions	±2.3% ±$3.23	$137.88 – $144.34	$137.19 – $145.03	$134.13 – $148.09
3 sessions	±2.9% ±$4.08	$137.03 – $145.19	$136.24 – $145.98	$132.43 – $149.79
1 week	±3.7% ±$5.18	$135.93 – $146.29	$134.77 – $147.45	$130.08 – $152.14
2 weeks	±5.2% ±$7.27	$133.84 – $148.38	$132.12 – $150.10	$125.59 – $156.63
3 weeks	±6.3% ±$8.89	$132.22 – $150.00	$130.06 – $152.16	$122.33 – $159.89
1 month	±7.4% ±$10.43	$130.68 – $151.54	$128.10 – $154.12	$119.01 – $163.21

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.90%

Average actual move

1.76%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-19.63%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 13, 2025	±6.90%	+1.76%	0.26×	54.9% → 29.7%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →