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Carnival Corporation Ltd CCL 29.58 -0.01 -0.03%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $29.70
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.9% ±$0.55 $29.14 – $30.25 $29.03 – $30.36 $28.51 – $30.89
2 sessions ±2.6% ±$0.77 $28.93 – $30.47 $28.76 – $30.63 $28.04 – $31.36
3 sessions ±3.3% ±$0.97 $28.73 – $30.67 $28.54 – $30.86 $27.63 – $31.77
1 week ±4.2% ±$1.23 $28.47 – $30.93 $28.19 – $31.21 $27.07 – $32.33
2 weeks ±5.8% ±$1.73 $27.97 – $31.43 $27.56 – $31.84 $26.00 – $33.39
3 weeks ±7.2% ±$2.14 $27.55 – $31.84 $27.03 – $32.37 $25.17 – $34.23
1 month ±8.6% ±$2.55 $27.14 – $32.25 $26.51 – $32.89 $24.28 – $35.11
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. CCL reports in 29 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.01%
Average actual move
5.88%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 7
Median IV change
-23.87%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
September 29, 2026 ±7.11% +13.41% 1.89× —
June 23, 2026 ±6.87% -4.87% 0.71× —
March 27, 2026 ±7.89% -4.31% 0.55× —
September 29, 2025 ±6.97% -3.98% 0.57× 52.8% → 41.9%
June 24, 2025 ±6.34% +6.91% 1.09× 57.4% → 42.4%
March 21, 2025 ±6.56% -1.23% 0.19× 58.4% → 45.7%
December 20, 2024 ±7.29% +6.43% 0.88× 63.2% → 37.5%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →