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Genuine Parts Company GPC 126.4 2.13 1.71%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $126.40
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.3% ±$1.64 $124.76 – $128.04 $124.43 – $128.37 $122.87 – $129.93
2 sessions ±1.8% ±$2.29 $124.11 – $128.69 $123.63 – $129.17 $121.47 – $131.33
3 sessions ±2.3% ±$2.88 $123.52 – $129.28 $122.96 – $129.84 $120.27 – $132.53
1 week ±2.9% ±$3.67 $122.73 – $130.07 $121.93 – $130.87 $118.60 – $134.20
2 weeks ±4.1% ±$5.14 $121.26 – $131.54 $120.04 – $132.76 $115.44 – $137.36
3 weeks ±5.0% ±$6.38 $120.02 – $132.78 $118.46 – $134.34 $112.91 – $139.89
1 month ±6.0% ±$7.62 $118.78 – $134.02 $116.88 – $135.92 $110.23 – $142.57
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.32%
Average actual move
8.58%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Median IV change
-32.89%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
February 17, 2026 ±5.88% -14.56% 2.48× —
February 18, 2025 ±6.77% -2.60% 0.38× 34.7% → 23.1%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →