GRBK Moves

Green Brick Partners GRBK 65.9 -0.61 -0.92%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $65.90

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.7% ±$1.11	$64.79 – $67.01	$64.57 – $67.23	$63.53 – $68.27
2 sessions	±2.3% ±$1.54	$64.36 – $67.44	$64.04 – $67.76	$62.58 – $69.22
3 sessions	±2.9% ±$1.94	$63.96 – $67.84	$63.59 – $68.21	$61.77 – $70.03
1 week	±3.7% ±$2.46	$63.44 – $68.36	$62.89 – $68.91	$60.65 – $71.15
2 weeks	±5.3% ±$3.46	$62.44 – $69.36	$61.62 – $70.18	$58.52 – $73.28

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

No completed report with a comparable pre-report straddle.