ITW Moves

Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW 293.45 6.81 2.38%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $293.43

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.0% ±$2.94	$290.50 – $296.37	$289.91 – $296.95	$287.15 – $299.71
2 sessions	±1.4% ±$4.08	$289.35 – $297.51	$288.50 – $298.36	$284.66 – $302.21
3 sessions	±1.8% ±$5.14	$288.30 – $298.57	$287.33 – $299.54	$282.52 – $304.35
1 week	±2.2% ±$6.52	$286.92 – $299.95	$285.48 – $301.38	$279.55 – $307.31
2 weeks	±3.1% ±$9.13	$284.31 – $302.56	$282.14 – $304.73	$273.92 – $312.95
3 weeks	±3.9% ±$11.30	$282.14 – $304.73	$279.38 – $307.49	$269.58 – $317.29
1 month	±4.6% ±$13.41	$280.02 – $306.84	$276.68 – $310.19	$265.00 – $321.87

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

No completed report with a comparable pre-report straddle.