MAS Moves

Masco Corporation MAS 86.82 4.64 5.65%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $87.04

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.5% ±$1.29	$85.75 – $88.33	$85.49 – $88.59	$84.28 – $89.80
2 sessions	±2.1% ±$1.79	$85.25 – $88.83	$84.87 – $89.21	$83.18 – $90.90
3 sessions	±2.6% ±$2.25	$84.79 – $89.29	$84.35 – $89.73	$82.24 – $91.84
1 week	±3.3% ±$2.86	$84.18 – $89.90	$83.53 – $90.55	$80.93 – $93.15
2 weeks	±4.6% ±$4.02	$83.02 – $91.06	$82.06 – $92.02	$78.46 – $95.62
3 weeks	±5.6% ±$4.86	$82.18 – $91.90	$81.00 – $93.08	$76.77 – $97.31
1 month	±6.5% ±$5.62	$81.42 – $92.66	$80.02 – $94.06	$75.12 – $98.96

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±5.61%

Average actual move

1.38%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-25.56%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 11, 2025	±5.61%	+1.38%	0.25×	35.7% → 23.3%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →