MKC Moves

McCormick & Company MKC 50.06 -0.42 -0.83%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $50.06

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.8% ±$0.88	$49.18 – $50.94	$49.01 – $51.11	$48.18 – $51.94
2 sessions	±2.4% ±$1.22	$48.84 – $51.28	$48.58 – $51.54	$47.43 – $52.69
3 sessions	±3.1% ±$1.53	$48.53 – $51.59	$48.23 – $51.89	$46.79 – $53.33
1 week	±3.9% ±$1.95	$48.11 – $52.01	$47.68 – $52.44	$45.91 – $54.21
2 weeks	±5.5% ±$2.74	$47.32 – $52.80	$46.68 – $53.44	$44.22 – $55.90
3 weeks	±6.6% ±$3.30	$46.76 – $53.36	$45.95 – $54.17	$43.08 – $57.04
1 month	±7.7% ±$3.85	$46.21 – $53.91	$45.25 – $54.87	$41.89 – $58.23

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.55%

Average actual move

3.91%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-26.60%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
October 07, 2025	±6.55%	-3.91%	0.60×	43.8% → 27.3%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →