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Motorola Solutions MSI 496.99 5.99 1.22%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $493.95
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings ±5.3% ±$26.13 $467.82 – $520.08 $461.20 – $526.70 $437.00 – $550.90
2 sessions Earnings ±5.6% ±$27.86 $466.09 – $521.81 $459.27 – $528.63 $433.54 – $554.36
3 sessions Earnings ±6.0% ±$29.44 $464.51 – $523.39 $457.69 – $530.21 $430.77 – $557.13
1 week Earnings ±6.2% ±$30.77 $463.18 – $524.72 $455.72 – $532.18 $429.24 – $558.66
2 weeks Earnings ±6.7% ±$33.09 $460.86 – $527.04 $453.05 – $534.85 $424.15 – $563.75
3 weeks Earnings ±7.1% ±$35.07 $458.88 – $529.02 $450.53 – $537.37 $420.20 – $567.70
1 month Earnings ±7.5% ±$37.29 $456.66 – $531.24 $447.67 – $540.23 $415.56 – $572.34
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. MSI reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.55%
Average actual move
6.72%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 4
Median IV change
-36.30%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026 ±6.23% -11.36% 1.82× —
February 12, 2026 ±5.59% +7.67% 1.37× —
August 08, 2025 ±5.49% +1.87% 0.34× 45.7% → 17.0%
February 14, 2025 ±4.87% -5.99% 1.23× 40.5% → 36.5%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →