After hours
⌘K
Sign in Sign up

Paychex Inc PAYX 118.71 3.06 2.65%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $118.71
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.6% ±$1.90 $116.81 – $120.61 $116.42 – $121.00 $114.63 – $122.79
2 sessions ±2.2% ±$2.65 $116.06 – $121.36 $115.50 – $121.92 $113.00 – $124.42
3 sessions ±2.8% ±$3.34 $115.37 – $122.05 $114.73 – $122.69 $111.61 – $125.81
1 week ±3.6% ±$4.24 $114.47 – $122.95 $113.52 – $123.90 $109.68 – $127.74
2 weeks ±5.0% ±$5.95 $112.76 – $124.66 $111.35 – $126.07 $106.02 – $131.40
3 weeks ±6.2% ±$7.36 $111.35 – $126.07 $109.56 – $127.86 $103.15 – $134.27
1 month ±7.4% ±$8.77 $109.94 – $127.48 $107.75 – $129.67 $100.11 – $137.31
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. PAYX reports in 31 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.37%
Average actual move
1.44%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Median IV change
-22.22%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
December 19, 2024 ±5.37% +1.44% 0.27× 29.6% → 20.2%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →