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PROLOGIS PLD 131.36 2.28 1.77%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $131.35
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.0% ±$1.36 $130.00 – $132.71 $129.72 – $132.98 $128.45 – $134.25
2 sessions ±1.4% ±$1.88 $129.47 – $133.23 $129.07 – $133.64 $127.29 – $135.41
3 sessions ±1.8% ±$2.37 $128.99 – $133.72 $128.53 – $134.18 $126.31 – $136.40
1 week ±2.3% ±$3.01 $128.34 – $134.36 $127.67 – $135.03 $124.94 – $137.76
2 weeks ±3.2% ±$4.23 $127.12 – $135.58 $126.12 – $136.58 $122.34 – $140.36
3 weeks ±3.9% ±$5.18 $126.18 – $136.53 $124.92 – $137.79 $120.41 – $142.29
1 month ±4.6% ±$6.10 $125.26 – $137.45 $123.73 – $138.97 $118.43 – $144.28
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±3.67%
Average actual move
3.11%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 6
Median IV change
-1.80%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
October 15, 2026 ±3.45% -2.70% 0.78× —
July 16, 2026 ±3.61% +4.63% 1.28× —
April 16, 2026 ±3.20% +1.72% 0.54× —
October 15, 2025 ±3.75% +6.33% 1.69× —
July 16, 2025 ±3.73% +1.43% 0.38× 27.8% → 24.3%
April 16, 2025 ±4.32% +1.84% 0.43× 35.3% → 34.7%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →