Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN 311.49 -1.0 -0.32%
Expected move
November 04, 2026 close · $311.49| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±2.3% ±$7.29 | $304.20 – $318.78 | $302.74 – $320.24 | $295.85 – $327.13 |
| 2 sessions | ±3.3% ±$10.15 | $301.34 – $321.64 | $299.19 – $323.79 | $289.62 – $333.36 |
| 3 sessions | ±3.9% ±$12.18 | $299.31 – $323.67 | $296.94 – $326.04 | $285.54 – $337.44 |
| 1 week | ±4.8% ±$14.86 | $296.63 – $326.35 | $293.30 – $329.68 | $279.81 – $343.17 |
| 2 weeks | ±6.3% ±$19.47 | $292.02 – $330.96 | $287.41 – $335.57 | $269.94 – $353.04 |
| 3 weeks | ±7.7% ±$23.83 | $287.66 – $335.32 | $281.87 – $341.11 | $261.15 – $361.83 |
| 1 month | ±8.9% ±$27.85 | $283.64 – $339.34 | $276.70 – $346.28 | $252.43 – $370.55 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±6.73%
Average actual move
8.82%
Beyond the implied move
5 / 7
Median IV change
-21.06%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 22, 2026 | ±7.48% | -1.81% | 0.24× | — |
| July 23, 2026 | ±9.15% | -3.13% | 0.34× | — |
| April 23, 2026 | ±8.82% | +19.43% | 2.20× | — |
| January 28, 2026 | ±6.51% | +9.94% | 1.53× | — |
| July 23, 2025 | ±4.75% | -13.34% | 2.81× | — |
| April 24, 2025 | ±5.64% | +6.56% | 1.16× | 50.6% → 40.8% |
| January 24, 2025 | ±4.75% | -7.52% | 1.58× | 39.3% → 30.4% |