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Uber Technologies UBER 69.87 3.27 4.91%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $69.87
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.8% ±$1.29 $68.58 – $71.16 $68.33 – $71.41 $67.11 – $72.63
2 sessions ±2.6% ±$1.79 $68.08 – $71.66 $67.70 – $72.04 $66.01 – $73.73
3 sessions ±3.0% ±$2.12 $67.75 – $71.99 $67.34 – $72.40 $65.35 – $74.39
1 week ±3.7% ±$2.56 $67.31 – $72.43 $66.74 – $73.00 $64.42 – $75.32
2 weeks ±5.0% ±$3.46 $66.41 – $73.33 $65.59 – $74.15 $62.48 – $77.26
3 weeks ±5.9% ±$4.14 $65.73 – $74.01 $64.72 – $75.02 $61.12 – $78.62
1 month ±7.2% ±$5.00 $64.87 – $74.87 $63.62 – $76.12 $59.26 – $80.48
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.52%
Average actual move
4.84%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 6
Median IV change
-32.95%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 04, 2026 ±7.35% +4.91% 0.67× —
August 05, 2026 ±7.29% -5.29% 0.73× 52.2% → 32.1%
May 06, 2026 ±7.24% +8.53% 1.18× 55.1% → 44.9%
August 06, 2025 ±7.28% -0.19% 0.03× 52.1% → 35.0%
May 07, 2025 ±7.40% -2.54% 0.34× 55.1% → 37.0%
February 05, 2025 ±8.57% -7.56% 0.88× 58.7% → 37.9%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →