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Waste Connections WCN 189.07 -2.59 -1.35%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $188.51
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.1% ±$2.17 $186.35 – $190.68 $185.91 – $191.12 $183.86 – $193.17
2 sessions ±1.6% ±$3.02 $185.50 – $191.53 $184.86 – $192.17 $181.99 – $195.04
3 sessions ±2.0% ±$3.81 $184.71 – $192.32 $183.97 – $193.06 $180.41 – $196.62
1 week ±2.6% ±$4.85 $183.67 – $193.36 $182.60 – $194.43 $178.20 – $198.83
2 weeks ±3.6% ±$6.79 $181.73 – $195.30 $180.13 – $196.90 $174.04 – $202.99
3 weeks ±4.3% ±$8.13 $180.39 – $196.64 $178.43 – $198.60 $171.36 – $205.67
1 month ±5.0% ±$9.47 $179.05 – $197.98 $176.70 – $200.33 $168.44 – $208.59
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±3.15%
Average actual move
0.59%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Median IV change
-23.97%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
February 13, 2025 ±3.15% -0.59% 0.19× 25.1% → 17.5%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →