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Williams-Sonoma WSM 270.08 16.38 6.46%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $270.08
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.5% ±$4.16 $265.92 – $274.24 $265.08 – $275.08 $261.17 – $278.99
2 sessions ±2.1% ±$5.78 $264.30 – $275.86 $263.08 – $277.08 $257.63 – $282.53
3 sessions ±2.7% ±$7.27 $262.81 – $277.35 $261.41 – $278.75 $254.60 – $285.56
1 week ±3.4% ±$9.24 $260.84 – $279.32 $258.79 – $281.37 $250.39 – $289.77
2 weeks Earnings ±8.4% ±$22.79 $247.29 – $292.87 $241.94 – $298.22 $222.03 – $318.13
3 weeks Earnings ±9.1% ±$24.69 $245.39 – $294.77 $239.51 – $300.65 $218.17 – $321.99
1 month Earnings ±9.9% ±$26.74 $243.34 – $296.82 $236.89 – $303.27 $213.82 – $326.34
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. WSM reports in 10 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±10.23%
Average actual move
2.27%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 2
Median IV change
-33.77%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
March 18, 2026 ±9.25% +1.06% 0.11× —
March 19, 2025 ±11.20% -3.49% 0.31× 66.1% → 42.8%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →