XMTR Moves

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Xometry XMTR 122.47 3.16 2.65%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 11 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 11, 2026 close · $122.00

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.3% ±$4.01	$118.00 – $126.01	$117.20 – $126.81	$113.42 – $130.59
2 sessions	±4.6% ±$5.56	$116.44 – $127.57	$115.26 – $128.75	$110.00 – $134.01
3 sessions	±5.7% ±$7.00	$115.00 – $129.01	$113.65 – $130.36	$107.08 – $136.93
1 week	±7.3% ±$8.91	$113.10 – $130.91	$111.11 – $132.90	$103.03 – $140.98
2 weeks	±9.8% ±$11.91	$110.10 – $133.91	$107.27 – $136.74	$96.59 – $147.42
3 weeks	±11.6% ±$14.16	$107.84 – $136.17	$104.40 – $139.61	$92.08 – $151.93
1 month	±13.5% ±$16.44	$105.56 – $138.45	$101.47 – $142.54	$87.12 – $156.89

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±19.62%

Average actual move

25.25%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026	±19.33%	+39.18%	2.03×	—
May 06, 2025	±19.91%	+11.31%	0.57×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →