YOU Moves

Clear Secure YOU 55.81 -0.69 -1.22%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $55.81

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.1% ±$1.16	$54.65 – $56.97	$54.41 – $57.21	$53.32 – $58.30
2 sessions	±2.9% ±$1.61	$54.20 – $57.42	$53.85 – $57.77	$52.33 – $59.29
3 sessions	±3.6% ±$2.03	$53.78 – $57.84	$53.38 – $58.24	$51.48 – $60.14
1 week	±4.6% ±$2.58	$53.23 – $58.39	$52.65 – $58.97	$50.30 – $61.32
2 weeks	±6.5% ±$3.63	$52.18 – $59.44	$51.32 – $60.30	$48.07 – $63.55
3 weeks	±7.7% ±$4.28	$51.53 – $60.09	$50.49 – $61.13	$46.77 – $64.85
1 month	±8.9% ±$4.94	$50.87 – $60.75	$49.64 – $61.98	$45.32 – $66.30

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±12.22%

Average actual move

4.93%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Median IV change

-41.50%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 06, 2026	±13.10%	+3.69%	0.28×	96.6% → 53.9%
August 05, 2025	±11.34%	+6.17%	0.54×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →