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Optionomics

Earnings expected moves

Every stock whose report trades in the next three sessions, and how far options price it to move through that session's close. From the November 13, 2026 close.

Monday, November 16

6 reports trade this session.

Stock Close Priced move Typical range
BIDU Baidu $77.80 ±4.8% ±$3.70 $74.10 – $81.50
POET POET Technologies Inc $5.15 ±10.1% ±$0.53 $4.63 – $5.68
BEKE KE Holdings Inc $17.89 ±7.3% ±$1.30 $16.58 – $19.19
XPEV XPeng Inc $9.36 ±5.7% ±$0.53 $8.83 – $9.89
TSN Tyson Foods $59.13 ±4.6% ±$2.70 $56.44 – $61.83
ARMK ARAMARK $53.75 ±4.4% ±$2.38 $51.37 – $56.13

Tuesday, November 17

14 reports trade this session.

Stock Close Priced move Typical range
HD Home Depot $348.52 ±4.3% ±$14.99 $333.53 – $363.51
DIS The Walt Disney Company $118.86 ±5.3% ±$6.26 $112.60 – $125.12
JD JD $27.88 ±6.5% ±$1.80 $26.08 – $29.68
XP XP Inc $15.47 ±6.3% ±$0.97 $14.50 – $16.45
POWL Powell Industries Inc $142.72 ±13.8% ±$19.64 $123.08 – $162.36
RCAT Red Cat Holdings $3.82 ±13.3% ±$0.51 $3.31 – $4.33
SHAZ SharonAI Holdings $22.56 ±15.6% ±$3.51 $19.05 – $26.07
VIK Viking Holdings Ltd $89.95 ±8.3% ±$7.45 $82.50 – $97.40
INFQ Infleqtion $8.51 ±9.9% ±$0.84 $7.67 – $9.35
ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd $707.94 ±6.9% ±$48.78 $659.16 – $756.72
KLAR Klarna Group plc $13.66 ±12.1% ±$1.66 $12.00 – $15.32
AS Amer Sports $29.91 ±8.5% ±$2.54 $27.38 – $32.45
TME Tencent Music Entertainment Group American $9.05 ±7.2% ±$0.65 $8.40 – $9.70
ACM Aecom $70.50 ±6.5% ±$4.58 $65.92 – $75.08

Wednesday, November 18

8 reports trade this session.

Stock Close Priced move Typical range
NVDA Nvidia Corp $162.19 ±8.3% ±$13.51 $148.68 – $175.70
TGT Target Corporation $160.93 ±8.3% ±$13.42 $147.51 – $174.35
LOW Lowe's Companies Inc $227.39 ±4.7% ±$10.73 $216.66 – $238.12
TJX TJX Companies $134.37 ±5.4% ±$7.31 $127.06 – $141.68
BLSH Bullish $22.51 ±11.4% ±$2.57 $19.94 – $25.08
JMIA Jumia Technologies AG $5.34 ±15.0% ±$0.80 $4.54 – $6.14
DLB Dolby Laboratories $63.87 ±8.1% ±$5.15 $58.72 – $69.01
HAFN Hafnia Limited $9.57 ±12.5% ±$1.19 $8.38 – $10.76

The priced move runs from the close above through the close of the session that trades the report, so it includes the report and any ordinary sessions before it. It is a size, not a direction. Each range is calibrated against how far stocks actually moved; a single stock can move beyond it.

How the priced move is calculated

We price the at-the-money straddle at every listed expiration, place each on trading sessions, and separate the report's one-day jump from everyday movement. The move shown is the horizon that ends on the session trading the report.

Calibrated against realised moves over 2016–2026. In held-out years from 2019–2026 the 68% and 90% ranges held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes. Past coverage is not a guarantee for the next report.

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